Key takeaway: HMRC’s June 2026 consultation proposes a fundamental shift to more frequent, in‑year Income Tax Self Assessment (ITSA) payments from April 2029, replacing the current January/July payments on account (POAs). The change aims to reduce long delays between earning income and paying tax, but creates a complex transition year where taxpayers may temporarily pay both old‑system POAs and new in‑year instalments.
Under current rules, ITSA tax can be paid up to 22 months after income is earned.
Around 1 in 5 ITSA bills are paid late, often due to large, infrequent payments.
From April 2029, HMRC wants tax to be paid closer to real time, smoothing cashflow and reducing debt risk.
HMRC proposes:
Collecting monthly PAYE deductions towards the taxpayer’s forecast ITSA liability.
Forecast based on the previous year’s return, with a balancing payment after filing.
Applies where PAYE income is sufficient to collect instalments.
HMRC is consulting on:
Monthly or quarterly direct payments on account, replacing the current two POAs.
Payments based on prior‑year liability, adjusted when the tax return is filed.
This is the most complex part.
In 2029/30, taxpayers may need to pay:
Final POA under the old system (for 2028/29),
New in‑year instalments (for 2029/30),
Balancing payment for 2028/29 in January 2030.
This creates a temporary double‑up of payments.
Bob is self‑employed with profits of £35,000.
POAs based on prior year: £2,700 in Jan 2028 + £2,700 in July 2028.
Actual liability £6,900 → balancing payment £1,500 in Jan 2029.
Plus first POA for 2028/29: £3,450.
Bob pays:
Second POA for 2028/29: £3,450 (July 2029).
New estimated POAs for 2029/30: £6,900 spread monthly or quarterly.
Balancing payment for 2028/29: £500 in Jan 2030.
Monthly/quarterly instalments based on updated estimate (£7,400).
Balancing payment (£600) in Jan 2031.
Transition-year cashflow spike (temporary double payments).
Fluctuating income (both PAYE and self‑employment).
Safeguards needed to prevent over‑collection via PAYE.
Impact on employers/pension providers administering PAYE deductions.
New entrants to Self Assessment needing a workable first‑year model.
Agent and software implications (forecasting, adjustments, client communication).
Monthly via PAYE (default).
Monthly direct payments, or
Quarterly direct payments (April, July, October, January).
Total tax paid does not increase — only the timing changes.
Balancing payments still due after filing.
Forecasts still based on prior‑year liability unless updated.
Consider cashflow planning for the 2029/30 overlap.
PAYE coding changes may require liaison with your employer.
You may need to consider monthly budgeting tools.
Talk to us about managing in‑year estimates and corrections.
Check your payroll software providers will support real‑time forecasting and instalment tracking.
Opened: 23 June 2026
Closes: 4 August 2026 at 11:59pm
Response publication: Autumn 2026
Implementation: April 2029 (Finance Bill)
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