Mortgage Rates Rise as Top 5 of 6 Lenders Reprice Amid Middle East Tensions

Published / Last Updated on 17/07/2026

What’s Happened?  Five of the Big Six lenders — NatWest, Nationwide, Barclays, Virgin Money and Coventry BS — have increased fixed and tracker mortgage rates by 0.27%–0.35%. This follows a sharp rise in funding costs driven by renewed geopolitical tension in the Middle East.


Key Changes by Lender

  • NatWest – Fixed rates rising up to 0.27% from tomorrow.

  • Nationwide – Fixed and tracker rates up to 0.35% across FTB, homemover and remortgage ranges.

  • Barclays – Residential rates up to 0.34%, especially for existing customers.

  • Virgin Money – Purchase and remortgage rates up to 0.35%.

  • Coventry BS – Increases across residential and buy‑to‑let for new and existing customers.


Why Rates Are Rising Again

The recent period of falling fixed rates has reversed. The Iran conflict has:

  • increased global uncertainty

  • pushed up energy prices

  • lifted UK swap rates (the main driver of fixed mortgage pricing)

  • raised expectations that interest rates may stay higher for longer

This has directly increased lenders’ funding costs, prompting rapid repricing.


What This Means for Borrowers

Rate increases are small in some cases, but meaningful in others. Example:

  • Nationwide’s 2‑year fix has moved from 4.24% → 4.59%

  • On £100,000 borrowed, that’s ~£30 per month or ~£350 per year

Borrowers waiting for further reductions may now face higher costs if they delay.


Market Behaviour: Why Speed Matters

Multiple lenders moving in quick succession is usually a sign that:

  • more lenders will follow

  • remaining lower‑priced products may be withdrawn with little notice

This is typical during periods of geopolitical or inflation‑related volatility.


Borower Guidance

Securing a rate now can protect you from further rises — while still allowing a switch to a cheaper product before completion if markets settle.

Most lenders allow:

  • rate locking

  • product switching

  • no penalty for choosing a cheaper deal later

This makes early action a low‑risk, high‑protection strategy.


Comment

Mortgage rates are rising yet again as geopolitical tensions push up oil prices, inflation risk, central bank interest rate rises risk and therefor lenders’ funding costs.  5 out of 6 major lenders have already increased fixed rates, and more are likely to follow. Fixing or setting your rate deal now may protect you from further rises. 

Not forgetting if there were a quick settlement in the US/Iran conflict, rate risk rises may fall and provided your new rate has not completed, you may be able to reverse.

 

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